Wednesday, April 4, 2018

Four million people in America will turn 18 this year. Republicans and Fox News should be afraid.


The biggest single age cohort in the U.S. today is 26.  There are 4.8 million of them.  25, 27 and 24 follow close behind them in that order. (Byron, 2017)

Check out this nifty chart from Deutsche Bank...


As Pew Research Center noted in May 2016, there were more Millennials eligible to vote in 2016 than there were Baby Boomers. (Khalid, 2016)

But they didn't show up.  There were 62 million Millennials eligible to vote in 2016 - only 34 million did.  (Fry, 2017)

How did the ones that did show up vote?  Check out this chart from Survey Monkey...


According to Headcount, a nonpartisan organization that promotes participation in democracy 4,800 new voters registered during the March For Our Lives events on March 24, 2018.  And those were ink on paper registrations, no word yet about how many registered online.  (Willingham, 2018)

So does that mean that the Millennials are finally ready to step up and use their political power? 

Certainly the events of the past few weeks suggest a dramatic shift in attitude.  And as my 60's flashbacks continue I am reminded that nothing is more effective in stimulating change than fear of dying. 

This is their Vietnam.  And it's worth remembering that what ended the Vietnam War, was Congress refusing to fund it.  And that only happens if people vote.


Byron, E. (2017, October 9)  America's Retailers Have a New Target Customer: The 26-Year-Old Millennial.  wsj.com.  Retrieved April 4, 2018, from   https://www.wsj.com/articles/americas-retailers-have-a-new-target-customer-the-26-year-old-millennial-1507559181

Khalid, A. (2016, May 16) Millennials Now Rival Boomers As A Political Force, But Will They Actually Vote?  npr.org.  Retrieved April 4, 2018, from https://www.npr.org/2016/05/16/478237882/millennials-now-rival-boomers-as-a-political-force-but-will-they-actually-vote

Fry, R. (2017, July 31)  Millennials and Gen Xers outvoted Boomers and older generations in 2016 election.  pewresearch.org.  Retrieved April 4, 2018, from

Castillo, W. (2016, November 9)  How we voted - by age, education, race and sexual orientation.   usatoday.com.  Retrieved April 4, 2018, from

Willingham, A. (2018, March 26)  Thousands of new voters signed up during the March For Our Lives.  cnn.com.  Retrieved April 4, 2018, from  https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/26/us/march-for-our-lives-voters-registration-headcount-trnd/index.html

 

2 comments:

Scott Edwards said...

Thanks, PJ for the great chart above! Hard to believe, but does the trailing off that happens around age 55, indicate that is when people start dying off in significant numbers?

Kind of chilling, as most of us know very few people that died so young.

Interesting too how the slope doesn't really change much as it goes toward 100

PJ Lehrer said...

Actually I don't think you have to worry until you hit 62. ;-) Check out this article...
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-so-many-men-die-at-62-1518404880