Wednesday, July 29, 2020

People are too scared about the present to worry about what might happen in the future.


We are in the middle of a global pandemic.  As of this morning, 4.3 million Americans have Covid-19 and 149,774 Americans have died from Covid-19.  

People are afraid.  And they are very unhappy that Trump and his tribe have decided to ignore reality.  According to the latest polling average from FiveThirtyEight, Trump's disapproval rate is currently 55.8%, with some polls showing it as high as 61%. 


More notably, only 32% of Americans, a new low, support his strategy for handling Covid-19.  (Bice, 2020)

What strategy?  The only strategy I see is more lies and distractions.  Same song, different verse.

While the rest of us worry about the present, Trump is trying to scare us with his version of the future by running a silly over-the-top commercial about cities without police.  

Since 70% of us live in the present this strategy is doomed to fail. 

But interestingly it may also change minds - in the opposite direction from what Trump is hoping for.  That's because research shows that one of the few ways to persuade someone to change their mind is to present them with absurd claims about their current beliefs.  Apparently it makes people question whether those beliefs were valid to begin with.  (Ariely, 2017)


Bice, A. (2020, July 26)  Poll: Support for Trump’s handling of coronavirus pandemic hits new low.  politico.com.  Retrieved July 27, 2020, from  https://www.politico.com/news/2020/07/26/support-for-trumps-coronavirus-strategy-dips-381509

Ariely, D. (2017, November 9)  Dan Ariely on How to Soften Extreme Views.  wsj.com.  Retrieved July 27, 2020, from  https://www.wsj.com/articles/dan-ariely-on-how-to-soften-extreme-views-1510249012

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